CCBC Fireside Chat on Value Investing in China

🎬 Columbia China Business Conference ⏲ 1h32m ✓ Transcript
Li Lu x Bruce Greenwald at Columbia. The definitive Li Lu interview covering moat, trust, DCF, China opportunities.
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Transcript Segments

⏱ 02:24 · Host
Opening Introduction
主持人介绍 Bruce Greenwald 和李录。Bruce 是哥伦比亚商学院价值投资之父,培养了一代价值投资者包括李录在内。
Live streaming from Columbia Business School. Welcome to the 13th Columbia China Business Conference. Joining us today are Professor Bruce Greenwald and Mr. Lee Liu.
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▶ 02:24
⏱ 04:37 · Bruce
Evolution of Investment
Bruce 开场:您的投资理念在过去28年是如何演变的?查理·芒格对您有什么影响?
I've known Lee Liu for more than 20 years. How has your investment philosophy evolved? In what ways has Charlie Munger influenced you?
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▶ 04:37
⏱ 08:00 · Li Lu
From Graham to Munger
李录分享三阶段演进:1) 格雷厄姆雪茄烟蒂法 2) 优质小企业 3) 具有持久护城河的伟大企业。芒格的影响远超投资。
Before I got exposed to value investing through Buffett's lecture at Bruce's class, my whole approach was along similar lines.
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▶ 08:00
⏱ 12:30 · Bruce
What Makes a Great Business
Bruce 追问:什么是伟大企业的具体特征?有哪些可量化的指标?
What specifically do you look for in a great business? What are the characteristics that make a business truly outstanding?
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▶ 12:30
⏱ 12:42 · Li Lu
ROIC and Moat
三个标准:1) ROIC 持续高于平均水平 2) 真正的护城河 3) 长期持续增长赛道。符合这三个条件的伟大企业极其罕见。
Great businesses are the ones who really have above average return on invested capital - but that kind of businesses socially attract imitators.
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▶ 12:42
⏱ 15:00 · Li Lu
Trust Moat
李录最强调的护城河:信任。最高形式的文明是无缝的、值得信赖的信任之网。
The highest form which civilization can reach is a seamless web of deserved trust - not much procedure, just totally reliable people correctly trusting one another.
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▶ 15:00
⏱ 19:00 · Li Lu
Constant Change
所有伟大企业都处于不断变化中。护城河必须不断重建才能保持相关性。
All great businesses are in constant change. The moat must be continuously rebuilt to remain relevant.
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▶ 19:00
⏱ 21:51 · Bruce
How Do You Invest Differently
Bruce 提问:您的方法与其他价值投资者有什么本质区别?
How do you invest differently from other value investors?
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▶ 21:51
⏱ 26:30 · Li Lu
From Small to Great
李录从完全不懂企业只看财报,演进到深入理解管理层。性格评估是艺术,不是科学。
I evolved from not understanding business at all, just looking at financial statements, to deeply understanding management.
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▶ 26:30
⏱ 33:00 · Li Lu
Margin of Safety and DCF
DCF 是李录的核心估值工具,但关键是保守假设。
I use DCF as the primary tool, but the key is being conservative with assumptions.
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▶ 33:00
⏱ 38:00 · Bruce
Generalist or Specialist
Bruce 提问:投资者应该是通才还是专才?在中国市场运作方式是否不同?
Do you think investors should be generalists or specialists?
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▶ 38:00
⏱ 44:49 · Li Lu
China World's Most Dynamic
中国30年来一直是全球最具活力的经济体,正在从投资驱动转向消费驱动。
China has been the most dynamic economy in the world for the last 30 years, transitioning from investment-driven to consumption-driven economy.
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▶ 44:49
⏱ 50:00 · Li Lu
Opportunities Across Sectors
住房、服务、几乎所有行业都处于强劲增长阶段。关键是找到有护城河的好公司。
Housing, services, virtually every industry is in a robust growth stage. The challenge in China is not finding opportunities.
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▶ 50:00
⏱ 55:00 · Bruce
Service Economy
Bruce 提问:中国的服务业有哪些机会和人才挑战?
What opportunities do you see in China's service economy?
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▶ 55:00
⏱ 62:00 · Bruce
Investment Mistakes
Bruce 提问:回顾您的职业生涯,您最大的投资错误是什么?
Looking back on your career, what are some of your biggest investment mistakes?
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▶ 62:00
⏱ 62:01 · Li Lu
Mistakes and Advice
错误是投资的必要部分——关键是快速学习。
Mistakes are a necessary part of investing. The key is learning from them quickly.
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▶ 62:01
⏱ 85:00 · Li Lu
Asian-American Bridge
李录最后呼吁:全球经济中心正在从大西洋转向太平洋。
The center of the global economy is shifting from the Atlantic to the Pacific.
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▶ 85:00